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NFL • WEEK 1 • 2026

THE EMPIRE EDGE

DATA • ANALYSIS • THE EDGE
Starter-based Week 1 research • 2025 baseline until 2026 regular-season data arrives
WEEK 1 DATA SHEET
V3 • Updated Sep. 6, 2026
16 Empire Edge picks • current depth order • player milestone engine
2025 BASELINE: Week 1 has no 2026 regular-season sample yet. Player ladders use 2025 weekly results and matchup history where available. Historical hit rates are research context — not guarantees and not a substitute for comparing the actual sportsbook price.
THE SIGNAL

Week 1 research board

Built around the 16 teams on your prediction card. Prop and TD analytics now follow the current starters and top three receivers instead of a hand-picked player list.

135 current starter/depth-chart profiles • 2025 baseline data embedded directly in this file.
MARKET FIT

Where the data is most useful

Markets ranked by how naturally they map to repeatable historical usage and milestone data — not by guaranteed profitability.

YOUR CARD

Empire Edge Week 1 predictions

Straight-up predictions only — no moneyline odds attached. This page is built to show your calls and the supporting 2025 context cleanly.

NO CLUTTER

Matchups, simplified

Record, scoring, defense, recent series, players to watch, and your pick. “Points scored” and “points allowed” are written out instead of PF / PA.

STARTER PROP ENGINE

Prop Lab

Starting QB, RB, TE, EDGE/DE and kicker plus the top three WRs for each of your 16 selected teams. Choose any player to see a full 2025 profile, per-game averages, position-specific prop thresholds, and exact historical hit rates wherever game-by-game logs are embedded.

Every player below has an embedded 2025 statistical profile. Exact weekly hit-rate ladders are shown where verified game logs are embedded.
SCORING PROFILES

TD Lab

Every selected team’s QB/RB/WR/TE starter group is included. Every selected QB/RB/WR/TE has 2025 scoring data. Rankings use rushing + receiving TD volume per game; first-TD is still treated as a high-variance market.

TD Lab uses the embedded 2025 baseline for every QB/RB/WR/TE on the selected depth charts.
ANYTIME TD PROFILE

Best 2025 scoring frequency

TEAM-BY-TEAM

Top TD profiles on your 16 teams

HIGH VARIANCE MARKET

First TD scorer watchlist

These are the highest 2025 scoring-frequency starters — a shortlist for price shopping, not a first-TD probability model.
GAME ENVIRONMENT

Week 1 weather board

Early forecast snapshot. Outdoor weather should be re-checked 24–36 hours before kickoff; indoor/retractable-roof games are labeled separately.

RESEARCH PRIORITY

Best markets for this data sheet

“Best” here means easiest to research with repeatable player usage and hit rates. A bet still needs a favorable number and price.

NEW YORK

Sportsbook promo board

Current public New York promo snapshot. Offers can be account-specific or change quickly — always verify the exact in-app terms before opting in.